It’s not often that we comment on the defensive side of the ball but the season ending ACL injury to Darrelle Revis will have far-reaching fantasy impact especially for the passing games in the AFC East.
The Jets pass defense ranks 11th through 3 games (one without Revis) allowing 219 YPG with 5 TDs and 4 INTs. Their lack of pass rush will become a much bigger issue without Revis on the back end of the defense. The Jets have produced just three sacks in three games – tied for 2nd fewest in the NFL (Jags only have 2 sacks).
Revis has missed 126 plays since the start of 2011 and during the time with Revis Island in street clothes the J-E-T-S have failed to make an INT while allowing 5 passing TDs. It’s a small sample size but considering they will now be without their defensive QB for the remaining 13 regular season games - their opponents (most notably New England twice) should produce serviceable passing numbers when they matchup with Revis’ replacement Kyle Wilson.
Greg Rosenthal (NFL.com) points out that the Jets lack of pass rush will leave the secondary out on an island for the remainder of 2012.
BrunoBoys.net has Alex Smith as their #20 quarterback for the week 4 matchup with the Jets but note that a bounce back week is very possible.
LestersLegends.com has Michael Crabtree at #32 – he could be serviceable BYE week filler for Mike Wallace and Reggie Wayne owners.
FANTASY FOOTBALL SPIN:
When Revis sat out the week 2 matchup with Pittsburgh due to a concussion, the Jets were forced to employ more zone coverage using a split safety look that is not favored by Rex Ryan. Big Ben ended the day with 275 yards passing , 2 TDs and zero INTs. Bottom line is with Kyle Wilson forced into starting duties opposite Antonio Cromartie the Jets will no longer be a passing Defense to avoid for fantasy purposes.
Since 2011 with Revis on the field the Jets allowed just 15 passing TDs while terrorizing opposing QBs to the tune of 23 interceptions. Without Revis in the lineup, the Jets have allowed a 63% completion rate and failed to grab one INT while yielding 5 TDs.
In week 4, the Jets host a San Francisco team looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss in Minnesota. For those looking for a BYE week replacement for Big Ben / Andrew Luck and Matt Stafford owners bracing for the worst – Alex Smith might present a worthwhile start this week as the Jets pass defense gets a major downgrade with Revis in street clothes.
Looking long-term Tom Brady gets the Jets win weeks 7 and 12. Brady topped 300 yards in both matchups with the Jets last season while tossing 4 TDs with one INT. Despite the loss of Aaron Hernandez, Tom Terrific should post monster numbers in both games. The Bills played the Jets in week 1 and won’t face them again until week 17 – so the Revis injury won’t have much effect on Fitz and Stevie J. Miami’s passing game (Bess/Hartline) is a fantasy afterthought except for those in deeper PPR leagues.
For the fantasy playoff weeks (14-16), the Jets face Jacksonville, Tennessee, and San Diego. The loss of Revis could pay major dividends for Phil Rivers owners that make it to the championship week. In an October 2011 matchup with New York, Rivers struggled passing for just 179 yards with one TD and two INTs. Without the threat of Revis Island, Rivers should have a chance at solid QB1 numbers in the all important week 16 matchup.