BYE: Denver, Jacksonville, San Francisco, St Louis, Tennessee, Washington
Each week we scour the injury reports and analyze the box scores to offer up some players that are destined for fantasy success but could be availble on the fantasy waiver wire. Four offenses (San Diego, Indianapolis, Denver, and Dallas) are averaging over 300 passing yards per game. On the flip side, the four worst passing games (averaging less than 160 passing yards per game) included Tennessee, Arizona, Buffalo, and Carolina.
There aren’t a lot of starter worthy options that will be out this week other than Kyle Orton and possibly deep league options David Garrard / Sam Bradford. In week 9, Tampa’s Josh Freeman is worth adding if available for a matchup with an Atlanta defense that ranks 27th against the pass and is allowing 19 fantasy pts/game to opposing QBs. Temper your expectations for Matt Schaub (vs. SD) and Ryan Fitzpatrick (vs. Chicago) as they both face pass defenses allowing less than 14 fantasy pts/game to opposing QBs.
Now that we’ve hit the half way point of the season, its worth analyzing the remaining NFL schedule to determine which teams face defenses that have been shredded by opposing QBs and which formiddable pass defenses should be avoided if you have a legitimate alternative.
Best remaining schedule for QBs: Tennessee, NY Giants, NY Jets, Jacksonville, San Diego
Worst remaining schedules for QBs: Carolina, San Francisco, Seattle, Atlanta, Cincinnati
Rotoprofessor.com is on board with picking up 38 year old Cowboys QB Jon Kitna based on him having a plethora of receiving weapons and a favorable schedule for the remainder of the season.
Fantasypros911.com recommends adding Tampa QB Josh Freeman if he’s still available. He is a mediocre option but has topped 200 yards in four straight games.
LestersLegends.com believes that David Garrard’s week 8 outburst (5 TDs) against Dallas could signal that he is fantasy relevant.
BrunoBoys.Net confirms that Lions QB Matthew Stafford is a must add and worthy of starting when the matchup is right.
FANTASY FOOTBALL SPIN:
In week 8, Matthew Stafford returned from a shoulder injury that sidelined him in week 1 and posted elite numbers as he completed 26-of-45 passes for 212 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception.
Under Shaun Hill, the Detroit passing offense surprised in the first half of 2010 ranking 7th averaging 259 passing yards/game with 10 TDs and 8 INTs. In his rookie 2009 season Stafford also battled a shoulder injury and finished with only 2 wins to go with 13 TDs and 20 interceptions as he adjusted to the transition from the University of Georgia to the NFL. The Lions upgraded at RB (Javhid Best), WR (Burleson), and TE (Scheffler) in the offseason and Stafford’s week 11 performance last season against Cleveland (422 yards and 5 TDs) including a last second win after seperating his shoulder shows his upside potential. Stafford is an ideal start when the matchups are right which should be the case in week 11 against a declining Dallas secondary and week 12 against a New England defense that ranks 31st in passing yards allowed.
Josh Freeman has led the Bucs to a surprising 5-2 record and the division lead. Tampa’s passing offense rank 18th averaging 217 passing yards/game with 8TDs and 3 INTs. With emerging rookie Mike Williams and talented TE Kellen Winslow, Freeman is worth using when the matchup is favorable which is the case in week 9 when the Bucs face an Atlanta defense that ranks 27st in passing yards allowed. As an added bonus, Freeman has a very favorable schedule for weeks 14-16 (fantasy playoffs) with matchups against Washington (31st), Detroit (20th), and Seattle (29th).
Jacksonville’s David Garrard finally proved to be starter worthy in week 8 as he exploded for 5 TDs (four passing) as the Jags drove the final nail into the Cowboys coffin. Garrard makes for an ideal sell high player as he hadn’t topped 200 yards in any of his previous six games. The 2010 Jacksonville passing offense ranks 28th averaging 181 yards/game. He finished last season (2nd as the starter) with 3,600 yards, only 15 TDs and 10 INTs but has almost matched those numbers through 7 games (13 TDs, 7 INTs). Garrard is an average at best fantasy option going forward but is worth considering when the matchup is favorable. Its worth noting that the Jags have favorable matchups in week 10 (vs Houston), week 11 (vs Cleveland) and week 16 (vs Washington).