BYE: Green Bay, New Orleans, San Diego, Oakland
Each week we scour the injury reports and analyze the box scores to offer up some players that are destined for fantasy success but could be available on the fantasy waiver wire. Five offenses (San Diego, Indianapolis, Denver, and Dallas) are averaging over 275 passing yards per game. On the flip side, the four worst passing games (averaging less than 180 passing yards per game) can be found in Seattle, Kansas City, Arizona, and Carolina.
Many fantasy owners will be scrambling to replace their studs this week as ARod, Brees and Rivers will be resting in week 10. Jacksonville’s David Garrard is sitting on many waiver wires and has a dream matchup this week as the Jags host a Houston defense that ranks dead last in passing yards allowed (298 yards/game) and a league worst 20 passing TDs. Most of the top passing defenses are on BYE this week so there aren’t many matchups to avaoid other than Jon Kitna (hopefully you aren’t relying on him anyway) against the NY Giants.
Now that we’ve hit the half way point of the season, its worth analyzing the remaining NFL schedule to determine which teams face defenses that have been shredded by opposing QBs and which formiddable pass defenses should be avoided if you have a legitimate alternative.
Best remaining WR schedules: Carolina, New Orleans, NY Giants, Tennessee, Philadelphia
Worst remaining WR schedules: San Diego, Denver, Kansas City, Atlanta, Cincinnati
ProFootballWeekly.com is on board with adding David Garrard due to his back to back favorable matchups (Jax and Cleveland).
FFToday.com are expecting big things from Harvard alum Ryan Fitzpatrick as the Bills welcome a very generous Detroit secondary in week 10.
BrunoBoys.Net recommends considering 49ers newly annointed starter Troy Smith - he’s more of a deep league option as San Fran figures to remain a run focused offense with Fran Gore.
CBSSports.com points out that Josh Freeman is worth using this week as he had starter worthy day when the Bucs faced Carolina in week 2.
Rotoprofessor.com believes that Brett Favre could be worth adding and starting as a matchup play during the 2nd half of the season following his career day in week 9.
FANTASY FOOTBALL SPIN:
With news that Matthew Stafford could miss the remainder of the season, Shaun Hill is worth stashing if you have the roster space. Hill’s fractured forearm has healed to the extent that he took the No. 1 reps in Wednesday’s practice and was able hand off with his left hand (out of the shotgun) but has yet to go under under center. His chances of playing this week have increased and he is worth considering based on the favorable matchup with a Bills defense that has allowed 17 passing TDs while only intercepting one pass. In his four starts this season, Hill averaged 282 yards passing while tossing 8 TDs and 6 INTs. The Lions have favorable matchups on the horizon as they face a Dallas defense playing much worse than their ranking (14th) and a New England secondary that ranks 29th against the pass (269 yards/game). Wth Calvin Johnson and Javhid Best, the Lions have two game breakers that can make any QB fantasy relevant.
In week 9, Favre set a career high with 446 yards passing and 2 TDs and of course another 2 INTs as he kept the Vikings playoff hopes on life support with an improbable 27-24 OT win over a Cardinals defense that has struggled all season (27th against the pass). In week 10, the Vikings travel to Soldier Field to face a Bears defense that ranks 19th against the pass (226 yards/game). In two games against Chicago last season, #4 averaged 356 yards passing while tossing 5 TDs and zero interceptions. As an added bonus, the Vikings should be welcoming WR Sidney Rice back to the lineup in the next week or so and have favorable matchups with Washington (week 12) and Buffalo (week 13) in the next month.
We’ve talked up David Garrard as a matchup play and this week is the ultimate chance to use him as Jacksonville faces a Houston pass defense that has more holes than swiss cheese. Houston is yielding 25 fantasy points/game to opposing QBs. Jacksonville’s David Garrard finally proved to be starter worthy in week 8 as he exploded for 5 TDs (four passing) against a Dallas defense that has been missing in action. Garrard didn’t top 200 yards in any of his previous six games and the 2010 Jacksonville passing offense ranks 28th averaging 181 yards/game. He finished last season (2nd as the starter) with 3,600 yards, only 15 TDs and 10 INTs but has almost matched those numbers through 7 games (13 TDs, 7 INTs). Garrard is not a top 15 fantasy option most weeks but is worth considering when the matchups are favorable. The Jags have favorable matchups in week 10 (vs Houston), week 11 (vs Cleveland) and week 16 (vs Washington).