Each week we will analyze the matchups and provide our take on which RBs you should start and which should be benched based on difficult matchups, injuries, potential weather problems etc. Four offenses (Kansas City, Oakland, NY Giants, and NY Jets) are averaging over 145 rushing yards per game. On the flip side, the worst rushing attacks (averaging less than 90 rushing yards per game) can be found in Seattle, Arizona, Detroit, Dallas, and Denver.
If your Running Backs are facing these defenses you may want to go in a different direction unless you have every week stud starters. These Defenses have allowed less than 90 yards per game in 2010: Pittsburgh, Chicago, NY Giants, San Diego and the NY Jets
On the flip side if you have RBs facing these generous rush defense make sure that you take advantage and have your RBs active for the favorable matchup. Detroit, Carolina, Arizona, Indianapolis, Denver, Tampa and Buffalo are allowing over 130 yds/game on the ground.
If you usual starters are facing a top rush defense be sure to check out our week 12 Waiver Wire Running Back Recommendations as there might be better options available. Fred Jackson (vs PIT) , Cedric Benson (@NYJ) and MJD (vs NYG) could struggle in week 11. As if Frank Gore(vs ARZ) , Ray Rice (vs Tampa) and Steve Jackson (vs Denver) need any additional help they should carry your teams this week against defense that have been gashed by opposing runing games. Mike Tolbert (vs Indy) and Rashard Mendenhall (vs BUF) should also outproduce their season averages in very favorable matchups.
LestersLegends.com are forecasting Rashard mendenhall to have a monster week as they rank him #1 for a matchup against Buffalo’s league worst run defense (167 yards/game).
FFtoolbox.com is expecting Houston’s Arian Foster to explode in week 12 as they rank him #1 for a home matchup against a Titans defense that ranks 12th against the run (103 yards/game). The sky’s the limit for fantasy #1 RB as he proved last week scoring twice against the Jets stout run defense.
Rotoprofessor.com is very optimistic on Carolina’s Mike Goodson as they rank him #16 as the Panthers travel to Cleveland to face the Browns 21st ranked run defense – have only allowed 3 rushing TDs.
ProFootballWeekly.com has New England’s Benjarvus Green-Ellis ranked 9th as the Patriots open turkey day against a Detroit defense ranked 26th against the run (allowed 11 rushing TDs).
FANTASY FOOTBALL SPIN:
UPGRADE: Jamaal Charles (@Seattle) – Charles in Charge is the No. 10 fantasy running back in non-PPR formats through 11 weeks and has the chance to vault your team into the playoffs with running friendly matchups against Seattle and Denver in the next weeks.
The Seahawks run defense has been in freefall over the past month and currently ranks 13th allowing 105 yards/game and 9 rushing TDs. The presence of Thomas Jones limits JC from becoming a top 5 option but through 10 games Charles has been one of the league’s best dual threats averaging 120 yards/game from scrimmage (30 catches for 356 yards). Charles only has three TDs on the season but he is a threat to take to the house on any play and this week we expect him to top his 120 yard average as the league’s #1 rushing attack will exert their will on an overmatched Seattle front 4.
DOWNGRADE: Cedric Benson (@ NY Jets) - Benson makes for a great sell high candidate after topping 100 yards and reaching the end zone against Buffalo’s 32nd ranked run defense in week 11. This week he’ll face a much stiffer test against NY Jets defense that ranks 5th against the run (90 yards/game) – allowing a league low 11 fantasy pts/game to opposing running games. Benson is averaging 75 yards/game (less than 4.0 YPC ) with just four TDs through 10 games. Trading Benson now is your best bet as Cincy has difficult matchups remaining with Pittsburgh and San Diego in the next month. The Bungles might decide to work Bernard Scott into the mix as this lost season winds down as Benson is impending free agent and there is no guarantee that he’ll be back n tiger stripes in 2011.
SLEEPER: Donald Brown (vs San Diego) - The 2009 first round pick should dominate carries in week 12 as Joseph Addai (neck/shoulder) will be limited to non-contact drills this week – sign that he’ll miss his 5th straight game. Mike Hart continues to battle an ankle injury and is also unlikely for week 12. Brown has yet to live up to his potential but showed flashes in week 11 as he rushed 17 times for 68 yards and added three catches for 40 yards against New England. With Austin Collie ruled out, Brown could become a viable option in the passing game making him a legit top 20 option despite a difficult matchup against San Diego’s 3rd ranked run defense (87 yards/game).